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Forecasting using artificial neural network case study: Short term load forecasting

Ain Shams University, Faculty of Engineering, Scientific Bulletin • 2000
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Publication Information
Authors Raafat A. El-Kammar, Hala H. Zayed, Atef K. Fadel
Keywords Not Available
Journal Ain Shams University, Faculty of Engineering, Scientific Bulletin
Publisher Not Available
Volume 35
Issue 1
Pages 361-378
publication.type International
Paper Link Not Available
Supplementary Materials Not Available
Abstract
Forecasting problems entail the construction of a model, and using the information available, estimating the parameters of the model to optimize the prediction performance. This requires the application of complex mathematical functions to represent highly nonlinear problems. In this paper, the accumulative back propagation artificial neural network has been used to solve forecasting problems. As a case study, neural network and regression technique have been used to make a forecast for the future electric loads. A comparison with regression technique has been made. The neural network architecture proved to give better results especially for nonlinear loads